Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1334.049420 1519.950362 1727.500010 1977.322077 2271.084606 2607.017298 3022.348455
2025-08-24 1060.947985 1306.289869 1606.824858 2005.973710 2528.062148 3195.948158 4128.350422
2025-08-31 908.212886 1176.162759 1525.095343 2020.434871 2718.112304 3685.156241 5162.047959
2025-09-07 810.953760 1093.454598 1479.940071 2059.458975 2927.961179 4217.451768 6348.698299
2025-09-14 707.529006 984.469480 1378.310297 1995.198554 2967.385042 4495.086827 7194.169678
2025-09-21 626.506712 895.460614 1290.893382 1934.258513 2994.189131 4746.698796 8037.620464
2025-09-28 557.831605 815.947241 1206.540785 1863.514508 2989.265806 4937.637674 8806.126068
2025-10-05 531.244183 796.737907 1211.293590 1934.536981 3229.280783 5588.764259 10583.584595
2025-10-12 500.108985 766.634455 1194.438684 1965.451456 3401.134649 6143.571452 12305.533048
2025-10-19 470.059427 734.981019 1171.011496 1980.653573 3544.381030 6666.639353 14093.823372
2025-10-26 443.051768 705.588212 1147.906703 1992.580970 3681.560463 7200.547455 16051.592567
2025-11-02 426.703574 692.519647 1151.315567 2053.464587 3924.550777 8004.158344 18906.108268
2025-11-09 408.685539 675.599757 1147.310045 2102.024548 4155.682721 8843.735927 22177.681205
2025-11-16 389.373160 654.755014 1134.195951 2131.232534 4351.448310 9648.398517 25662.622147
2025-11-23 370.217235 632.404873 1115.815027 2146.838665 4518.734136 10420.553240 29351.924372
2025-11-30 355.912135 617.692047 1110.411181 2188.772610 4754.287553 11424.291704 34209.827574
2025-12-07 330.574499 580.186412 1056.926136 2119.721601 4710.057951 11663.126672 36547.447783
2025-12-14 307.955977 546.215803 1007.593037 2054.265643 4664.827669 11891.004519 38954.941761
2025-12-21 286.246074 512.506543 956.086537 1978.313403 4581.665274 11992.912694 40940.465962
2025-12-28 280.969750 510.602897 969.699962 2054.564685 4911.833659 13425.805221 49072.365822
2026-01-04 271.982517 500.594274 965.389010 2087.766756 5131.624596 14574.113492 56656.086983
2026-01-11 262.133354 488.108804 954.677137 2104.096335 5307.368591 15628.073992 64460.955683
2026-01-18 252.658844 475.715196 943.098302 2116.909488 5475.762235 16707.343001 73121.081702